It’s that time of year—time to predict what the lending world will be like in 2011! Let’s take a look at the usual sources for land-lease community loans.
In recent years, money for manufactured housing properties has come from conduit lenders, banks (primarily local and regional), life companies, GSEs (government sponsored entities, primarily Fannie Mae), and others such as GE Real Estate. Let’s take a look at the current lending climate for each of these sources.
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) or conduit lending
In 2008, the CMBS industry was all but dismantled. However, 2010 marked the comeback of the securitization industry in regard to commercial real estate. Most of the prior major players have hired back at least a portion of their staff or completely new staff. The largest conduit originator in 2010 was JP Morgan, accounting for almost half of the securitized loans for the year. They are now being joined by a lot of familiar names including Wells Fargo, Deutsche Bank, CIBC, Bridger Funding, Goldman Sachs just to name a few. And there are some newcomers, most notably Ladder Capital, Guggenheim and Cantor-Fitzgerald.
Aside from conservative underwriting, the largest obstacle to increased loan production has been the need to recreate the origination infrastructure. Most of these investment houses are staffed with just a fraction of the people they had just two years ago. The result is, because of limited personnel, the focus in 2010 was on—LARGE deals—$10 million and up and preferably $25 million and up in many cases. However, as the staff is increased and competition unfolds, look for lenders to be willing to entertain smaller loans in 2011. This is particularly welcoming in the manufactured housing industry. In fact, two lenders, Wells Fargo Bank and Guggenheim, have created loan origination programs geared for smaller loans—$1 to 5 million. Underwriting is still very conservative and is likely to remain so through the balance of the year. And maximum loan amounts are typically 70 percent of value and less is preferred.
BanksIn 2009 and the first half of 2010, there had been a “rush for the door” by banks of all sizes struggling to shrink their loan portfolios. However, in the latter part of 2010, many banks are now at the point that their real estate exposure is “right-sized” and so look for many banks to gear up loan origination efforts in 2011. If they are able to write off enough “bad loans” on their books, they will eventually become anxious to replace those loans. After all, lending is what they do to make money.
Life CompaniesUnlike banks and conduits, life companies have an ongoing need to invest cash. Millions of us continue to make payments on our property and life insurance policies, and that money needs to be invested so that sufficient funds will be available when the insurance proceeds are needed. The life companies have many places they can invest, but historically they have preferred long term fixed rate investments (like commercial real estate) with definite maturities. We expect life companies to be a major player in commercial real estate in 2011—albeit at conservative levels and only on the best quality assets, and also with the following important caveat—Michigan is probably one of the last places they want to invest their funds. A lot of them are licking their wounds from the commercial loans they made in recent years. I think it’ll be at least another year before their memories have dulled enough to be active in our local markets.
Fannie MaeFannie was a major lending source for land-lease communities in 2010. They offer long term, fixed rate, and nonrecourse loans at good rates and on competitive terms. They can be accessed by any of the DUS lenders (Delegated Underwriting & Servicing) who are designated to underwrite and service manufactured housing community (MHC) loans for Fannie Mae. Fannie’s MHC lending exceeds a billion dollars per year. Fannie makes loans on high quality 4 and 5 star communities. All MH land lease community loans are currently designated as “pre-review”—that is Fannie has to pre-review all loan submittals before the DUS lender is allowed to quote the deal. For acquisitions, this can actually be a “positive” —although the borrower won’t yet have a firm commitment, they’ll know that Fannie has seen and likes their deal—prior to having spent serious money on applications and due diligence. We expect Fannie to be a dependable lender in 2011 for higher quality communities. In Michigan, they tend to want to lend only 60 percent on communities with 25-year amortization. Senior communities qualify for 65 percent LTV and 30 year amortization.
Other LendersThe “private” lenders that I referenced in last year’s article were active only in distressed properties and loan sales, where they could get double digit yields. We do not expect them to be a force in conventional lending in 2011. GE Real Estate has historically been a strong player in the land-lease business. For most of 2010, they have only been making loans to their existing clientele. But they will be entertaining loan requests from new clients in 2011—although they are not expecting to be active in the state of Michigan.
SummaryThe re-birth of securitized lending should provide significant increase in the money available for all commercial loans and especially manufactured housing loans. Conduits like MHCs because they have trouble competing with Fannie and Freddie on apartments and MHCs qualify as “multi-family” providing much needed diversification in their pools of loans. I wrote a similar article to this one in 2010 and ended it with “We do expect lending to get better as 2010 progresses and that by this time next year—even though we still won’t be “business as usual,” we should be well on our way toward achieving normal lending practices in 2011.” I am pleased to say, that this seems to be the case. Onward and upward in 2011!